Rail Position: +0.5m Entire Course
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Best Win R8 N2 CANTBUYBETTER
Next Best Win R5 N8 SYLPHEED
Best Each Way R9 N8 HAY NOW
Best Roughie R4 N13 ROYAL ATOM
Race 1
A difficult 2YO race to line up, to kick off proceedings. $6 the field in early markets, and I will be looking for a market lead as we get closer to jump time. 13 FISH ’n’ SNITZ is a horse I’ve been on previously, she is yet to run a bad race, and could be one at a bit of value. She will need some luck from the gate, if she gets that luck and finds cover in the run, she will be finishing hard late.
Numbers: 13 – Wide open race
Bet: Each Way 13 FISH N SNITZ
Race 2
1 MISS EXFACTOR looks the leader here, with 4 DAZZLING RED parked right on her back. 1 MISS EXFACTOR rises 4kg in weight here, which is a slight concern, but she looks hard to beat. 7 MIGHTY MITTERE could be the one sneaking inside runs and getting home late and is one to include in multiples.
Numbers: 1 – 7 – 4 – 3
Bet: WIN 1 MISS EXFACTOR
Race 3
6 DONTBABYLON & 15 HOT TALK look to be the leading chances here. 6 DONTBABYLON resumes here up from Victoria, where she was a Sandown winner 3 starts back. She has good speed, and should settle in a good spot close to the speed and looks hard to beat. 15 HOT TALK was an impressive first up winner, before getting beaten on an unsuitable Heavy track last time out. Leaning to 6 DONTBABYLON, if she brings her Melbourne form she will be winning.
Numbers: 6 – 15 – 16 – 8
Bet: Each Way 6 DONTBABYLON
Race 4
13 ROYAL ATOM was unlucky last start; he drifted back after jumping well, before really attacking the line late. He looks ready for the step up to 2000m here, and has run well over this trip last preparation. 2 SNAPPER was the horse he chased home last start, and meets him 2kg better at the weights. Leading hope 4 KARAKABEEL has drawn bad, and will have to do some work at some stage to offset the draw.
Numbers: 13 – 2 – 6 – 4
Bet: Each Way 13 ROYAL ATOM
Race 5
Looks a good tempo in this, and both 2 WITH A PROMISE & 8 SYLPHEED have the class and look to get the right runs to fight this out. 2 WITH A PROMISE returned to something like her best last start, and her best is listed class. She hadn’t been disgraced at all this prep, but she enjoyed the fast tempo last start and boxed on really well. She gets a strong tempo to stalk here and should be in the finish. I think the winner will be 8 SYLPHEED who competed in strong winter carnival races last preparation. He run second at Group 3 level before being beaten 2.6L in the QLD Guineas. He tuned up for this with trial win, and looks the horse to beat
Numbers: 8 – 2 – 9 – 5
Bet: WIN 8 SYLPHEED
Roving 2 & 8 in Exotics
Race 6
First the Disclaimer, I own a share in 12 BRASSY BELLE. She was an easy winner last start, and I think she can measure up in this grade; she is an EW hope today with some luck from the draw. 14 DON’T DOUBT DA WIFE look to spear across and lead here and be very hard to beat. 2 starts back she led and was run down late over this distance, before dropping back to 1350m last start, when second to Freddie Foxtrot. She has found the right race to return to the winner list here. 3 BEAU ISA & 5 MONASTERIO have all drawn poorly, and would have been higher in my selections if they drew a little better.
Numbers: 14 – 12 – 3 – 5
Bet: WIN 14 DON’T DOUBT DA WIFE
Race 7
This race has been decimated by scratching’s, and this opens the race up. 8 AMANAAT can either lead or box seat, and while he is up in class, has no weight and gets his chance from the draw. 5 RINGOS A ROCKSTAR dashed really well first up, the question is can he produce that second up.
Numbers: 8 – 5 – 6 – 9
Bet: EACH WAY 8 AMANAAT
Race 8
2 CAN’TBUYBETTER ran well first up in a fast run race, and looks well suited second up at 1350m. He is a classy galloper, who was a winner in listed grade last preparation, and can go one better here. 1 FRESPANOL can get the economical run behind the speed, which looks to be 7 FIERY HEIGHTS & 6 LUCKY TOM, and they can fill the minors.
Numbers: 2 – 1 – 7 – 6
Bet: WIN 2 CANTBUYBETTER
Race 9
Looks to be speed galore here, so leaning to a couple that look to get the right runs. 8 HAY NOW should get the gun run from gate 3 and looks very hard to beat. She was a Rosehill winner when stringing 3 wins in a row last prep, and resumed with a nice 3rd at Canterbury last start. Looks a great chance, and is a nice price at $7. 13 SUPER SUAVE will also get a economical run from the low draw, look for him weaving through late. 1 GULLY COMMAND was given hope last start, and with the speed on early can be charging late, and he goes in the exotics.
Numbers: 8 – 13 – 1 – 6
Bets: Each Way 8 HAY NOW
Box Exacta & Quin 1,8,13