EXCLUSIVE: KELLY SCHWEIDA SATURDAY CITY TRAINING RESULTS 1/1/16-31/3/16

04/05/16

In recent weeks on this website I researched the results of trainers that are at the top of the Brisbane trainers premiership ladder.

The form guide in last Friday’s Queensland statewide newspaper The Courier Mail advised that the top 10 trainers on the Brisbane premiership ladder in the season-to-date were, in order, with their number of winners Tony Gollan (73.5), Rob Heathcote (48), Liam Birchley (25), Matt Dunn (24), Kelly Schweida (19), Kelso Wood (14), Steven O’Dea (14), Tony Sears (13), Stuart Kendrick (13) and Chris Munce (13). But bear in mind those figures incorporate mid-week meetings and as I advised last week, it’s my considered opinion that one has to look at only “Saturday city” results when betting in Saturday city races.

I raised the point last week that Matt Dunn may well be sitting fourth on the premiership ladder – and get plenty of free press all over the place about his success, but the simple facts and realities are that he trained just two “Saturday city winners” between 1/1/16 and 31/3/16. It was also advised in that same article that “Group 1 winning trainer” Brian Smith had trained no Saturday city winners in the three calendar months period between 1/1/16 and 31/3/16.

In that aforesaid list of the top 10 on the trainers premiership, Kelso Wood had a winning “strike rate” way above any other trainer at “23.3” and that margin over his rivals only got bigger last Saturday when he trained a “Saturday city” double courtesy of Into The Red ($4.00) and Gotyacovered ($26). Not a bad effort given he only had the two starters at the meeting.

To that end, so far trainers Rob Heathcote, Tony Gollan and Liam Birchley have had their “Saturday city” results put up here. Today it’s the turn of another Brisbane based trainer – Kelly Schweida.

So here are Kelly Schweida’s results for his “Saturday city” runners from 1/1/16 to 31/3/16 inclusive:

DATE/MEETING

HORSE

PLACING

PRICE

26/3/16 – Doomben

Bagus

2nd

$4.20

 

Ruling Force

2nd

$5.50

19/3/16 – Doomben

L’Entrecote

1st

$2.80

 

Ruling Force

4th

$13

 

Zimbali

12th

$26

12/316 – Gold Coast

Double Superlative

2nd

$12

5/3/16 – Doomben

Ruling Force

5th

$13

 

Outraged

4th

$4.20

 

Zimbali

6th

$31

27/2/16 – Doomben

Oink

2nd

$16

 

L’Entrecote

5th

$11

20/2/16 – Doomben

Itz Alrite

1st

$5.50

 

Outraged

1st

$2.50

13/2/16 – Doomben

Itz Alrite

5th

$5

 

L’Entrecote

6th

$12

 

Binary

13th

$11

6/2/16 – Doomben

Outraged

2nd

$4

30/1/16 – Doomben

Itz Alrite

2nd

$2

 

Ruling Force

1st

$16

23/1/16 – Doomben

Bagus

1st

$4

 

Outraged

2nd

$7.50

 

Gypsy Gold

9th

$51

 

Glorious Red

4th

$7.50

 

Miss Cover Girl

3rd

$7

16/1/16 – Caloundra

L’Entrecote

8th

$11

9/1/16 – Gold Coast

Miss Cover Girl

8th

$21

2/1/16 – Caloundra

Outraged

2nd

$7

 

Glorious Red

1st

$8.50

 

From the abovementioned research we can see that Kelly Schweida had 28 starters and of those 28 starters he had six winners – or 21.42%.

From a punting perspective, if a punter blindly had $1 a win on all Schweida trained Saturday city runners, he or she would obviously outlay $28 and the return, based on each winner’s starting price would be $39.30, so incredibly just blindly backing all Schweida stable runners for a win in Saturday city races would have resulted in a healthy profit of 40%.

As Kelly Schweida’s review concludes a look into the stats of the four trainers who get lots of media coverage, here’s a table of the results:

TRAINER

WINNERS-TO-RUNNERS (%)

PUNTING OUTLAY/RETURN/PROFIT OR LOSS

T. Gollan

9 of 89 (10.11%)

$89 – $44.80 – Loss 49.67% of stake

R. Heathcote

7 of 71 (9.85%)

$71 – $32.35 – Loss 54.44% of stake

L. Birchley

2 of 33 (6.66%)

$33-$25 – Loss 24.24% of stake

K. Schweida

6 of 28 (21.42%)

$28-$39.30 – Profit of 40% of stake

 

So there are the results for the first four Brisbane based trainers on the premiership, as we come into the Brisbane Winter Carnival.

And tomorrow I’ll continue with another “exclusive” highly educational story on the Australian thoroughbred industry. The associated research that has gone into tomorrow’s story will show why this website has for many years led the way in educating the racing industry in Australia, via a large cross-section of factual stories. Naturally there will be the “odd” person who won’t learn anything from it, but that’s unfortunately what happens when people walk around with their mouth open and their ears and eyes firmly closed.

Today on www.brisbaneracing.com.au there’s a story on the success of Queensland harness racing father and son identities – Wayne and Shane Graham – as well as a story on Les Young winning an inaugural FBAA award.

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