Shane Ciurleo’s updated full preview and best bets Sunshine Coast

Robbie Fradd rides Shane’s value bet today at the Sunshine Coast.

The final day of the Queensland Winter Carnival heads to the Sunshine Coast for Caloundra Cup day. The track is rated a Soft 5 with the rail at 2m. Expecting the expansive Caloundra track will help every horse get its chance here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

BEST WIN Race 6 # 4 NEVERLAND $4.60 bet now

 

BEST EACH WAY Race 8 # 3 CARELESS CHOICE $11 bet now

 

 

Race 1

No shortage of speed here over the flying 1000m, expect 5 SUNDANCE & 7 SIR DONALD to pair off in front and set the speed.  Happy to be on the horses just behind the speed here, in particular 3 INVINCIBLE EXPRESS. She maps to get the right run and looks hard to hold out. 2 BADAJOZ & 1 SONY LEGEND can also run on into the money.

Numbers: 3 – 2 – 1 – 5

Suggested Bet: 1 x 2 Each Way 3 INVINCIBLE EXPRESS  $3.70 bet now looks the safe play.

 

Race 2

With my clear top selection Save The Date scratched it leaves me with nothing between 1 BLACKJACK BELLA, 4 STEAMIN’ & 7 COURAGEOUS ROCK. All are capable of settling handy and are sure to fight out the finish. For the record 1-4-7 but I don’t want to sway you anyway as nothing between them.

Numbers: 1 – 4 – 7 – no thanks

Suggested Bet: WIN 1 Blackjack Fella $3.40 bet now

 

Race 3

Difficult race to dissect, and not one I wont to play too heavy in. Settled on a couple of win bets in the race with 1 SAGAMAMA & 15 SWEET ADALINE1 SAGAMAMA was wide last start, but was a tidy effort behind William Wallace. Strips fitter here and with a bit of speed in the race, can sit quiet and hit the line hard late. 15 SWEET ADALINE has only won the 1 race, but didn’t mind its effort last time. She was first up for Brian Guy after 6 weeks between runs, thought she hit the line ok and again strips fitter here. Expect both of these to be double figure odds and can entertain a win bet on both at +$10 The danger and the one for a Quinella with the above 2 is 11 NATURAL BLACK, tongue tie first time and a nice gate appeal. 2 SHIPWRECKED is a myth, but will look a chance to win at some stage no doubt!

Numbers: 15 – 1 – 3 – 2

Suggested Bet: Small WIN Bets 1 SAGAMAMA $10 bet now & 15 SWEET ADALINE $6.50 bet now

 

Race 4

Again a very even race, but found a couple here id be happy to have something on. Had to be impressed by the win of 4 DYNASTIC last time. It was his first ever race start, sat outside the leader and put the field away very nicely. The time was good, and with natural improvement and a nice gate here, he should race well. 11 SAXTON ROCKS gets blinkers first time here and was good enough first up to suggests he can run really well here.

Numbers:4 – 11 – 2 – 1

Suggested Bet: WIN 4 DYNASTIC $3.50 bet now & Smaller WIN 11 SAXTON ROCKS $15 bet now

 

Race 5

8 CARE TO THINK on top here in a good race. Was rolled by Sneaky Glance last start, which has won since. Will need the speed on here, but should get it. A few of the more fancied chances in the market have drawn horribly, namely 9 CLORKWORK ORANGE & 13 PRIORITISE. I would have had 13 on top in this race but the gate swung me away. All 3 above look nice QLD horses going forward, along with 2 SECRET MO who is a chance here. 12 RAJA AMPART will be one steaming home late also.

Numbers: 8 – 13 – 9 – 2

Suggested Bet: Small WIN 8 CARE TO THINK $4.60 bet now

 

Race 6

Looks the ideal race for 4 NEVERLAND. I have been on her last couple, while she has raced really well, she never looked likely to winning the way the track and races where run. The set up looks good for her here, she will get her chance. 2 SELF SENSE was a very impressive Ipswich Cup winner last time, the soft track here suits again. 3 SUPPLY AND DEMAND is a tough on pacer from the Waterhouse / Bott yard. Will race on speed and be hard enough to beat. 1 BENZINI should round out the top 4.

Numbers: 4 – 3 – 2 – 1

Suggested Bet: WIN 4 NEVERLAND $4.60 bet now

 

Race 7

The Glasshouse looks a very difficult race to dissect, with a heap of chances.  Speed look solid enough with 3 FLAMBOYER rolling across from deep. He is a tough customer who will take some running down.  8 MONSIEUR GUSTAVE was a significant effort to win last start in a very similar field. He will roll forward and put himself in the race. He will be fitter again here and a leading hop. If these 2 can control the tempo they will give a good kick and be hard to run down. The run horse that appeals in this is 5 TOO GOOD TOO REFUSE. His 2 runs over 1200m after a freshen up have been excellent, hitting the line hard on both occasions. The step to 1400m now looks perfect, can settle a touch closer from the good draw and looks the one to hold out.  12 IN HIS STRIDE & 14 WILLIAM WALLACE will both be screaming home late, both in good form and look a chance if the race is set up for swoopers.

Numbers: 5 – 8 – 3 – 12

Suggested Bet: EACHWAY 5 TOO GOOD TOO REFUSE $4.60 bet now

 

Race 8

3 CARELESS CHOICE will be getting mine again today at the Each Way price. Liked his first 3 runs this prep, before having absolutely zero luck time out. That was a total forgive so sticking here and hopefully he gets his chance in the run. Hardest to beat is 13 MY TRUE LOVE who will be rolling along on speed. Her run behind Prompt Response last time was meritorious, and that horse has franked the form. 1 ACATOUR has a tricky gate and is under the odds from a betting proposition. Was luckless last time in the Eyeliner, this race is certainly no easier. With a bit of luck can definitely be in the finish.

Numbers: 3 – 13 – 1 – 10

Suggested Bet: Each Way 3 CARELESS CHOICE $11 bet now

 

Race 9

A fair bit of bias here, as my horse 1 SAIPAN goes around.  If he’d drawn a single digit gate I would have said he would run top 3 for certain.  We will need the ride of the year from Jimmy Orman to win, but he’s going great and with any luck can figure in the finish. I really think the horse to beat is 3 ALL SUMMER LONG. He brings strong NSW form, before just doing enough to qualify in a heat of this race last start. He was a month between runs then strips fitter and looks ready here. 11 ORADONNA 12 REAL EGO & 13 COBRA QUICK will all figure in the finish with the luck.

Numbers: 1 SAIPAN the sentimental selection, the head says 3 – 11 – 1 – 12/13

Suggested Bet: Small 1 x 2 SAIPAN $11 bet now & Small WIN 3 ALL SUMMER LONG $7.50 bet now

 

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