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WARWICK FARM

 

WEDNESDAY 25 OCTOBER

TRACK:                        SOFT 5   (5.26)                        RAIL:    +5M 1000m-W/Post, +3M remainder

 

 

BEST BET:        Race 7             No.2     ZONK

VALUE BET:     Race 5             No.11   SMOOTH WHISYKEY

 

 

Race 1

5 – 3 – 4 – 6

 

The two short priced fancies 3 Cuba and 4 Enfield Opp are great chances but I think under the odds so I am specking the debutante 5 Higher Ground who I think has trialled well. The son of So You Think has been in and out of the stable a couple of times having trialled five times with two of those this time around. The bottom two should roll along and I think Higher Ground will be strong late.

 

BET:     Small win bet No.5 Higher Ground

 

 

Race 2

4 – 8 – 5 – 7

 

Chris Waller has a big hand here with five of the nine runners so picking the right one can be tricky. I’ve settled on 4 Faith In hand but certainly not with an abundance of confidence. She drops back in grade here and distance which I think are both positives. The inside gate and the sting out of the track should help her position up a fraction closer than previously. The next four in my selections are all the other Waller runners.

 

BET:     Win bet 4 Faith In Hand

 

 

Race 3

1 – 4 – 3 – 5

 

Even with 61.5kg I think the toppy 1 Olympic Academy is the one to beat here. There should be a good tempo throughout and although there aren’t many positional changes in the final 600m of these types of races he should position up just behind the leaders. 4 Wine Bush will get back and run on late as normal and one day which may be today will run past his opponents. 3 Thewayweare is tough and in-form and will give a good sight again today.

 

BET:     Win bet 1 Olympic Academy

 

 

Race 4

11 – 1 – 10 – 7

 

Every man and his dog are tipping 11 Marble who has only raced once and that was for a very good win at Hawkesbury back in July. Prior to that he had trialled outstandingly and in preparation for today’s race he has trialled very good. He lines up against some seasoned older horses here which is never easy but if he is to measure up in coming weeks in Melbourne he will need to account for them. 1 Realise Potential is giving the favourite 11 Marble 10kg in weight as he will lump a hefty 64.5kg but he is sure to kept the youngster honest.

 

BET:     Win bet 11 Marble

 

 

Race 5

11 – 10 – 2 – 1

 

It took 11 Smooth Whiskey 15 starts to break his maiden status albeit he had run six second placings. The win was a dominant win against ordinary opponents but it is sure to have given the son of Snitzel plenty of confidence. He has drawn perfectly here and drops 5kg down to 54kg which should allow him to utilise his dash. At around the $9 mark he looks terrific value to me especially for the each way punters. 2 Grand Finalist and 10 So Splendid look the two main threats.

 

BET:     Each way bet 11 Smooth Whiskey

 

 

Race 6

9 – 6 – 12 – 11

 

I found this race almost impossible. I ended up in the corner of 9 So Spirited who should be rock hard fit following three runs in this preparation with all runs being full of merit. He did a very good job last start under a big weight at Wyong when closing to finish second. Today he races at home and is sure to appreciate the opportunity he will get to wind up and build into the race. 6 Cordero is first up off two trials and gets barrier one here so expect him to get his chance.

 

BET:     Very small win bet 9 So Spirited

 

 

Race 7

2 – 11 – 1 – 3

 

She isn’t flash odds but 2 Zonk looks awfully hard to beat here in the last. She resumed from a spell and gave nothing else a chance when sitting on the speed and racing away. She looks to have found another ideal race where she will roll forward and is likely to sit off 11 Cuban Sizzle before asserting her quality. When you are taking very short odds you look for the negatives and the only time she was second up she was beaten at Wyong. That said it’s proven a handy race with the winner being White Moss and second Passage Of Time.

 

BET:     Win bet 2 ZONK

 

 

 

Quaddie:

 

1st leg:             11

2nd leg:             2 – 10 – 11

3rd leg:             Field

4th leg:             2

 

Cost $36 = 100%

 

 

 

 

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